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Last Update: 1/27/2025

It may make sense to read the MTABS Timescale progression first.

The very phrase - "May there always be Sunshine" and the emotional charge of the associated song is all about ensuring that the Earth which is giving us life now and the Sun that is giving the Earth and us the energy for life to be possible, continue to do so for us and our systemic siblings for all of eternity.

Kardashev 2

Added 8/22/2024

The MTABS model can be mapped on the Kardashev Scale but it isn't clear exactly what level later Phases fit in. Phases below 6 can be safely assumed to be below 2 on Kardashev's Scale. Phases below 9 can also be pretty easily mapped below 3 Kardashev. The question then becomes do Phases 9 and especially 10 require over 3 Kardashev?

Phase 10 is probably so far away from our capabilities that it's just not worth focusing on at this point - we just can't see far enough out of the Milky Way to understand the full picture. But, no matter what the Andromeda situation is (and it has recently been questioned) Phase 9 business requires enormous amounts of energy. And if Phase 9 can be accomplished on a level closer to Kardashev 2, using machines that power directly from stars, can the combined civilizations of a Galaxy accomplish Phase 9 goals while Linked 8/23/2024 remaining solely on their home planets? The answer to this question is hard to arrive at logically given only what we commonly know now.

From this logic follows - if we (collectively as a Galaxy) must build Earth-like artificial habitats and exist in many interstellar locations to prevent Galactic Cataclysms, does that conflict with MTABS eternal focus on Earth and Sun?

The answer is simple - we are nowhere near the level of societal and technological development necessary to contribute to galactic projects. On the contrary, the MTABS hypothesis is that by focusing on our own planet first and ensuring the most optimal arrival at Kardashev 1 we will set the most optimal course for the next step. Subsequently then, by concentrating our focus on the Sun we will naturally plot the most optimal course to arrive at Kardashev 2.

The key assumption present in MTABS is that it will take time (lots of time by our measure) to arrive at Kardashev 1. And subsequently, it will continue to take even more time to arrive at Kardashev 2. But, without focusing on our own planet first and then on our own star it could be argued that we would arrive at those milestones either too late or never at all.

Development of Humanity hypothesis

Added: 8/23/2024, Updated: 8/27/2024, 8/28/2024, 8/29/2024, 8/30/2024, 8/31/2024, 10/4/2024

Thus the MTABS model Phases map to the Kondrashev scale in the following timeline progression, which when combined with other factors forms a hypothetical matrix:

MTABS Phase Time Frame from
fusion net
engineering gain
Civilizational stage Environment management Kardashev Value (Optimal) Energy Source Schedule Planet-Predominant / Human / ?Solar System? Sovereignty status Typical Violent Sovereign Conflicts
~ -70M - ~ -7M 0 Pre-Human Family Group balance of forces Naturally occuring Pre-Human violence
~ -7M - ~ -700K Local arrival and positioning Up to .1 Early scattered fuel usage Inter (Proto-Human) Family Group balance of forces Semi-naturally occuring Proto-Human violence
~ -700K - ~ -70K Local/Regional infancy Up to .15 Mid scattered fuel usage Inter-Family Froup safety

Inter-Clan balance of forces
Sporadic violent engagements

Early Organized violent engagements (the assumed worst stage of the Human-on-Human "Total Violence")
~ -70K - ~ -7K Early Local/Regional Childhood Early Local management Up to .25 Late scattered fuel usage

Early Earth surface fuel
Inter-Family Group secuirty

Inter-Clan safety

Inter-Tribe balance of forces
Sporadic violent engatements

Mid Organized violent engagements

Early Local war
~ -7K - ~ -700 Late Regional childhood, early adulthood, adulthood

Global arrival and positioning
Mid Local management Up to ~.4 Mid Earth surface fuel Inter-Clan security

Inter-Tribe safety

Inter-City/Area balance of forces
Late Organized violent engagements

Mid Local war

Early Regional war
~ -700 - ~ 70 Late Regional adulthood

Global infancy
Late Local management

Early Regional management
Up to ~.6 ~ Late Earth surface fuel

Early fossil fuel
Inter-Tribe security

Inter-City/Area safety

Inter-State/Principality balance of forces
Late Local war

Mid Regional war

Early/Direct Global war
~ -70 - 0 Early Global childhood Mid Regional management Up to ~.7 Mid fossil fuel Inter-City/Area security

Inter-State/Principality safety

Inter-Nation balance of forces
Late Regional war

Mid/Proxy Global war

Early deterrence war
1 0 - ~ 70 Late Global childhood, early adulthood, adulthood

Solar System arrival and positioning
Full Regional management

Early Earth management
Up to ~.8 Late fossil fuel

Early Earth deuterium fusion
Inter-State/Principality security

Inter-Nation safety

Inter-Sub-Continent balance of forces
Late/Concealed Global war

Mid deterrence war

Early restrained ?maneuvering engagement?
2 ~ 70 - ~ 700 Late Global adulthood

Solar Systemic infancy
Partial Earth management Up to ~.9 Mid Earth deuterium fusion Inter-Nation security

Inter-(Sub-)Continent safety

Inter-Planetary balance of forces (between native dry-surface dominant (human) and extraplanetry aquatic dominant species on Earth)
Late deterrence war

Mid restrained ?maneuvering engagement?

Early Oribal ?protection?     &     NLNM combat
3 ~ 700 - ~ 7K Early Solar Systemic childhood Full Earth management

Early Solar System management
Up to ~1 Late Earth deuterium fusion

Early Solar-System resource fusion
Inter-Continental security

Inter-Planetary safety (between Solar System native dry-surface dominant [human] on Earth and extra-solar dry-surface dominant [on Venus and/or Mars] species)

Entering (as a planet - Earth) into Inter-"Nearby interstellar space-faring, relatively close level of development civilization" balance of forces
Late restrained ?maneuvering engagement?

Mid Oribal ?protection?     &     NLNM combat

Early Solar System ?force positioning?     &     ? Solar-System-Inter-Planetary NLNM combat ?
4 ~ 7K - ~ 70K Late Solar Systemic childhood, early adulthood, adulthood

? Sub-Galactic (internal) arrival and co-positioning ?
Partial Solar System management Low 1.Ns Mid Solar System resource fusion Inter-Planetary security (inside the Solar System)

Participating in Inter-"Nearby ... civilization" safety

Entering (as the Solar System) into Inter-Multi Parsec balance of forces (for a grouping of "Nearbly ... civilizations")
Late Orbital ?protection?     &     NLNM combat

Mid Solar System ?force positioning?     &     ? Solar-System-Inter-Planetary NLNM combat ?

Early Multi-Parsec (?systemically?) collaborative ?force projection?     &     ?? Cross-Star-System NLNM combat ??
5 ~ 70K - ~ 700K Late Solar Systemic adulthood

? (Internal) Sub-Galactic infancy ?
Full Solar system management

Early Sun management
Mid 1.Ns Late Solar System resource fusion

Early Solar extraction fusion
Contributing to Inter-Star System security

Participating in Inter-Multi Parsec safety

? Entering (as a ?grouping of "Nearby ... civilizations"?) into Inter-Greater Parsec balance of forces "for sufficiently developed+" civilizations?
Late Solar System ?force positioning??     &     ? Solar-System-Inter-Planetary NLNM combat ?

Mid Multi-Parsec (?systemically?) collaborative ?force projection?     &     ?? Cross-Star-System NLNM combat ??

? Early Greater Parsec (?systemically?) joint ?force expeditioning? ?     &     ??? Cross-Star-System-grouping NLNM combat ???
6 ~ 700K - ~ 7M ? Early (internal) Sub-Galactic childhood ? Mid Sun management High 1.Ns Mid Solar extraction fusion Contributing to Inter-Multi Parsec security

? Participating in Inter-Greater Parsec safety ?

?? Entering (as a ??grouping of Multi-Parsec sufficiently+ developed civilizations??) into (internal) Sub-Galactic balance of forces (for "a wide range of development" civilizations) ??
Late Multi-Parsec (?systemically?) collaborative ?force projection?     &     ?? Cross-Star-System NLNM combat ??

? Mid Greater Parsec (?systemically?) joint ?force expeditioning? ?     &     ??? Cross-Star-System-grouping NLNM combat ???

?? Early stage participation in (internal) Sub-Galactic ?guarding? ??     &     ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
7 ~ 7M - ~ 70M ? Late (internal) Sub-Galactic childhood, early adulthood, adulthood ?

?? (Internal) Galactic arrival ??
Late Sun management

? Minor-excessively-metallic star management ?
Collaborative 2 Late Solar extraction fusion

? Minor-excessively-metallic star (core material extraction and) fusion ?
? Contributing to Greater Parsec security ?

?? Participating in (internal) Sub-Galactic safety ??

??? Entering (as a ???grouping of Greater-Parsec civilizations with a wide range of development???) into (internal) Galactic balance of forces ???
? Late Greater Parsec (?systemically?) joint ?force expeditioning? ?     &     ??? Cross-Star-System-grouping NLNM combat ???

?? Mid-stage participation in (internal) Sub-Galactic ?guarding? ??     &     ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

??? Early-stage participation in (internal) Galactic ?garrisoning? ???     &     ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

NOTE:
Stage Predominant security guarantees between the dominating being groups of the entities (and with moving of the earlier stage to the next formation level up)
Balance of forces No total war
Safety No systemic war
Security No war


NOTE:
Hypothesis assumes alike backward progression, with early fossil fuel age lasting ~ from 13XX CE (when coal began to be used for domestic heating) to ~195X CE and mid Earth surface fuel from ?~4XXX BCE? to 13XX CE (assumed start of human civilization on Earth)

NOTE:
The guaranteed work, the associated guaranteed living and the resulting removal of the Hidden Threat of Violence experiment in the USSR was further supported by the experiment in a multi-tiered representative democracy with open (publically known) votes and the ability to recall delegates from any level of the representation hierarchy. All of the innovations should have increased accountability of the delegates thus leading to more accurately representative decisions at all levels of the governing hierarchy. However, the transfer of power to this governing body was never completed.
Similar Hidden Threat of Violence reducing guaranteed work schemes are present in other state-over-capital systems.

NOTE:
United Nations of "~ -70 - 0" are assumed to be an instrument of sovereignty of the leading nation(s). UN of "0 - ~ 70" is expected to be an instrument of (at least at this stage near-)sovereign, near-Continental blocks of nations.

NOTE:
Modern Tribal violence is assumed to be isolated (not predominant across the world), mostly externally caused by advanced divide and conquer techniques. Same applies at lower and higher levels.

NOTE:
Contiental means a large portion of earth Surface. In Africa vague geographical boundaries of North, East, West, South and Central factor in a complex, slowly unifying framework during "balance of forces" and "safety" stages. In Asia rough geographial splits of North (Eurasia), East, South-East and South-West factor in the "balance of forces" and "safety" stages.
West Asia (Middle East) and the Sub-Continentally transitional Afganistan connect the Old World (with the assumption of South East Asia being a connecting (Sub-)Continentaly connecting region). Thus it takes influence from all of these regions (with the assumption of the recurring East Asian directed westward influence). Thus it may experience delayed Continental stage progression (but, interestingly enough, perhaps ahead of time Global progression).
Continental Opinion:
North Eurasia (CIS + possibly Korea + possibly Japan) is expected to stay unified through the 3 Contientnal stages as a stabilizing (and if needed protective) (relatively) "barbarian" force for the 3 cradles of civilization below, in case of an extraterrestrial (progressively less likely) attack on (logically assumed progression of) SA->NA->EU.

NOTE:
Planetary stages are focused on dry-surface. A different balance of forces will be maintained in the Oceans as progressively more aquatic species populate more oceanic space (expecting Indian Ocean, Pacific Ocean, South China Sea, ?Celebes Sea?, ?Arafura Sea - Banda Sea? progression).

NOTE:
Hypothesis assumes optimally minimal usage of Earth deuterium and subsequently System deuterium for use by future technologically intelligent species.

NOTE:
The to-date development of the Galactic balance of forces is assumed to already cycled through at least once (with progressive improvements over time), thus placing us into a current balance of forces as a "protected" civilization. But, given to the constant inflow of the lower level "No Threat of Violence" civilizations, the cycle is assumed to repeat continuously (though with both evolutionary and situational improvements). This goes along with the assumption of the continous (albeit slow) reduction of the Threat of Violence for the Galaxy as a whole.

NOTE:
The balance of forces is expected to be enforced on many levels, with higher levels being progressively removed from the yet-to-be interstellar (star-systemic) and below levels of civilizations. Thus, our logically derived (and multi-occuring, circumbstatial evidence inspired) centinel is assumed to belong to a lower than the Galactic (or maybe even Sub-Galactic) balance of forces level. However, if Galactic garrisoning (or even Sub-Galactic guarding) is already well developed then the (at the very least) near-Sun balance of forces may be at a higher level of stability.

NOTE:
The "real-space" situation in the Galaxy is likely extremely complex to due galagraphic and historical reasons. Thus the probability of the uniformity of even the Galactic (or even Sub-Galactic or below) security situation is extremely low. Therefore, the probability of dangerous, lower level inbalances of forces must be present (thow less likely with the slow passage of time). At the time of writing, given the (thank God) low level of available evidence, it is very difficult to logically derive the risks for our planet and our species on it. The assumption is - there are large (Jupiter size +) interstellar habitats (Added: 1/15/2025 possibly a la mini Dyson spheres with a heat and light source in the center, weight spread around the outer walls with habitable space on the inside of the wall, possibly related to the stand-alone Jupiter size planets in interstellar space and supported by a single recorded possible, very vague instance of refueling against the sun), fueling off (even not very dangerous, though temporarily a bit too energetic) stars and there are centinels, capable of piercing those habitats (Added: 1/15/2025 half-Earth sided tetrahedrons with 3 sides elongated, leading to a sharper-ended vertex, supported by possible, vague photogaphical evidence of one entering Sun's corona and subsequent disputed photographical evidence of a group of them much farther away from the Sun). And ( based on a single occurence of a dimming of Betelgeuse, and previously supported by imaginary queries) there are assumed to be (presumably much bigger) machines big enough to cause a temporary reduction of energy output of supernova-class stars (a la Betelgeuse).

NOTE:
We should be aware of the still possible Balance of Forces affecting the cataclysmic K-Pg extinction event and the much farther removed and thus less likely still affecting (but more impactful) extinction of life on the surface of Mars event.

NOTE Added 10/4/2024:
Institution NLNM combat and its eventual expansion to progressively larger (inter-planetary and interstellar) levels may prevent hypothetical (and morally wrong) external introduction of (engineered) societal Fixed 1/27/2025 chaos (in possible, last resort attempts to prevent long-term stagnation of development of species and its eventual extinction, or given sufficient development, pre-leading stage transition). Added 1/27/2025 This assumption is based purely on a (subsequent to published commitment to NLNM implementation) dream of an apparently superiorly orchestrated defense scare on a non-prepared world (with no demonstrated signs of combat), likely stopped by an introduction of an extra-planetary/habitat NLNM contingent.


NOTE:
Finally, for those of us with more resources to evaluate Multi (and Greater) Parsec star system composition (and possible planetary composition): the enery output of the Sun, its stage, the number of (especially inner) planets and oceanic moons - it all factors into our "localized" (and progressively less up the chain) balance of forces. And of course, alike but much more informed (external) projections of future balances of forces (that do factor in our local systemagraphy and history) are probably also taken into account.

Manage own "house" first

Updated: 8/22/2024

There may be a multitude of very good, even nobile reasons why older civilizations could choose nomadic lifestyles, (logically) in environments with perfectly reproduced conditions. Localized presence may be required to pull and push dark matter towards or away from the galactic center to control its speed and acceleration, or maintaining clusters of manageable black holes may be required to control galaxy's direction. Or maybe it's sub-galactic or even just regional matters - we just don't know. No matter the level of work would require that, loosing focus on our home world and star is not the way forward. With that attitude MTABS principles argue that before we join the galactic workforce our time is best spent focusing on what is and will always be important to us - our planet, with all of its natural imperfections and problems. And, once we are managing Earth our time will be best spent focusing on managing our star. The MTABS hypothesis is that only by sequentially focusing on those two things first we'll we trully be able to contribute to regional and eventually sub-galactic and even galactic projects.

Added 8/23/2024 Of course, other scenarios are possible. Maybe early Kardashev 2 civilizations face a crisis of ascension into that level, at which point one of the possible outcomes is growing your population via building very large habitats that are gravitationally and atmospherically equivalent to their homeworlds but can support an order of magnitude (or even two orders of magnitude) higher population (perhaps given a much larger surface area). And of course, in a good way, there would be any number of functional reasons for such habitats, ranging from providing material support and security to lesser developed yet still very busy civilizations to (potentially) dealing with geographic issues.

Added 8/23/2024 One can only hope that building inter-stellar habitats is not a dead-end way that prevents a civilization from ever joining (the other galactic civilizations) in building (or maintaining, as we just don't know the state of things in the Milky Way) a Kardashev 3 level system.

Lifecycle View

Updated: 8/22/2024

MTABS draws parallels between a human lifecycle and the lifecycle of humanity as a whole, but without a terminal death, arguing that just as humans should eventually live to 700 years of age, and with passing eons potentially achieve (besides the given at spiritual level) physical and mental immortality, so should should humanity. This is the other necessary component of MTABS:

May there always be Sun(shine),
May there always be Heaven(s),
May there always be Mama,
May there always be I.

Just as everyone should enjoy the luxury of having their parents around (at least while they bring up their children and grandchildren) we should (at the very least in our infancy and childhood) have the luxury of being on our mother planet, with our star. MTABS argues that joining the galactic workforce in "stellar infancy" (per the model < 700,000 years from now, Update 8/23/2024 given the broad assumption that equates 1 million rotations around the Sun to one year of a galactic-level civilization, specifically for our civilization) would not contribute to the solution of galactic problems. Subsequently, the lifecycle parallel continues that like of reasoning: Why go to "regional childcare" at 3 weeks if nothing is forcing your mother to shift her attention until you are 3 years of age?

And the argument extends that doing so in "early galactic childhood" won't do much good either: why go to a boarding school from first grade? And even beyond, in near-Kandrashev 2 "school and college years" - why go to an elite university (to build connections that you can just as easily build later with far fewer mistakes) if what you really need is a good education and the support of your family (occasional, exploratory travel based friendships aside). And even as we take on long term parenting roles over newer species and "build and grow our new interstellar family", our primary focus should be the challenges of our family not those of the city. Even as adults who take care of our children, we miss "mom's cooking and father's advice". Hence, if you are not disabled by "old age", why serve your country (wider galactic region - a large fraction of the galaxy) and planet (the galaxy) before you've helped with your (?wider galactic-regional?) grandchildren and maybe even played with your (?galactic?) great-grandchildren?

Added 8/23/2024 Or, perhaps more correctly, as we get involved in facilitating the development of younger species (which the MTABS model assumes to be the natural course of things) (after a good period of "growing up time", ~25 million years from now) directly, we will likely be involved in lesser-regional affairs that deal with our region and the region of the "parented" intelligent (at least technologically, or yet semi-intelligent) species. Then subsequently, as we progress to more of a support role of a larger number of the "brought up" early stage "parents", and further develop our technological and industrial capabilities (~50 million years from now) we would naturally be involved in the affairs of our greater region of the galaxy. Subsequently, via the logically following, natural expansion of influence, combined with a more hands-off approach, and as we gain the necessary (very mass scale) equipment and galactic-maintenance capacities, we would finally start to be involved in galactic matters.

Thus, MTABS hypothesis argues that it will take (per the model) at least 70+ million years of "family work" before we can trully take on wider community projects.